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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 4/27/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 21.7% clip, Nikola Jovic's 3-point proficiency has increased this season to 40.7%.

The Miami Heat check in as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home in terms of three-point attempts.

Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 29.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Nikola Jovic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

The Heat will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the most lethargic tempo away offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).

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