Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Apr 24, 2024

Updated Apr 24, 2024 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has made 2.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season when playing away from home.
The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
Nikola Jovic has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 29.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
The most sluggish pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the visting team with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Nikola Jovic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production across the board.

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