Nikola Jovic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Nikola Jovic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jovic

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 11:43 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jovic has made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the home team this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 14.4 field goal attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 11 games at home, 35.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year on his home court.

Favors Under

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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