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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jovic measures in the 86th percentile for three-point prowess away from his home court with a terrific 41.5% rate this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 15 games.

Nikola Jovic has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 41.5% higher than he's made in all games this season.

Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 44.1% on shot attempts from the field (4th-lowest in the league) against the Cavaliers, marking this as a hard matchup.

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce plays for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Nikola Jovic figures to suffer a reduction in productivity in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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