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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has sunk 52.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.8% more than he's converted overall this season without the home court advantage.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Nikola Jovic has converted 97.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games on the road, 41.7% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing on the road.

The matchup against New Orleans may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Pelicans are at home (24th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 3.4 three attempts per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, making this a hard matchup.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league as the away team with only 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the New Orleans Pelicans have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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