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Nikola Jovic

Nikola Jovic Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Nikola Jovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jovic has converted a whopping 43.0% of his shots from downtown this year, quite a bit higher than his 21.7 rate last year.

The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.

The Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 11 games at home, 37.5% higher than he's put through the net overall this season with the home court advantage.

Nikola Jovic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jovic has been on the court for 6.0 minutes per game over the last 11 games with the home court advantage, 21.0 lower than he's been on the court for in all games this season at home.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jovic comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against Orlando is a tough one; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).

The 3rd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

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