Nikola Jokic Steals - Player Prop Bet 6/9/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets · Jun 9, 2023

Updated Jun 10, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-235).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +182 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 1.2 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 39.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.
The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player production in all stat categories.

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