Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 2:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has compiled 9.2 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).
Nikola Jokic ought to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this game.

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