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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Rebounds
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Chicago Bulls

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 9.5 defensive rebounds per game on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
  • Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 9.7 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (losing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).
  • Nikola Jokic will likely see an increase in production in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on the road this year.
  • The Chicago Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league away from their home city this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

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