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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Rebounds
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -149.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts player production across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged a measly 9.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 10.9 defensive rebounds per game last year.
  • Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing at home.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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