Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 26, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has posted a measly 9.4 defensive rebounds per game this season, significantly less than his 10.9 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Nikola Jokic has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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