Nikola Jokic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
Nikola Jokic has played 32.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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