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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/5/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Nikola Jokic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -149.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 9.9 defensive rebounds per game at home this year, placing him in the 100th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this metric.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.6 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (88th percentile).

While playing away from home, the Clippers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Clippers.

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