Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 12:52 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has scored 32.0 points per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 5.8 more than he's scored over the course of the season at home.
Nikola Jokic has converted 79.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 37.4% higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.

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