Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 11, 2024 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 30.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's tallied overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has sunk 54.2% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 13.5% higher than he's made overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 34.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from facing the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic lands in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The faceoff with Rudy Gobert slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other team's starting Cs scoring just 51.2% of their field goal attempts this year.
As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at getting to the foul line: 2nd-worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 19.9 foul shot attempts per game.

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