Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 3:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 12.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.1 more than he's made over the course of the year playing at home.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 34.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 94th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 95th percentile for getting to the foul line, tallying a monstrous 5.5 free throws per game this year.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying just 20.1 foul shots per game.

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