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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 99th percentile for shots from the field made, averaging a massive 10.2 per game this year.
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.9 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The number of points logged against Victor Wembanyama has been remarkably high (17.4 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Spurs have played at the 3rd-fastest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 25 games as the away team.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories considering being on the road in this game.

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