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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 25.7 rate, Nikola Jokic's points per game have spiked this year to 32.3.

Relative to last season's 2.5 clip, Nikola Jokic's three-point attempts have risen this season to 4.4 per game.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Nuggets rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Houston Rockets have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged 0.0 threes per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a hard matchup.

The 4th-most lethargic tempo away team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should reduce possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's poor 20.1 foul shot attempts per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 3.2 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Rockets are away from home (6th-least in the NBA).

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