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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/24/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has attempted 18.7 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.1 rate last season.
  • Relative to last year's 2.5 clip, Nikola Jokic's three-point attempts have jumped this year to 4.4 per game.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 30.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 8thbest in in the NBA on their home court with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
  • This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) against the Rockets (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.3 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
  • The Nuggets rank as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.7).
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
  • The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo visiting team in the league this year (the Rockets).

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