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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made a terrific 11.2 shots made from the field per game this season, significantly higher than his 9.8 rate last season.

In comparison to last season's 2.5 mark, Nikola Jokic's shot attempts from beyond the arc have jumped this season to 4.6 per game.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 13 games.

The Pistons have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more plays for the Denver Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 0.2 3-pointers per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, labeling this as a tough matchup.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a drop-off in production in all stat categories on account of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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