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Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In contrast to last year's 9.8 clip, Nikola Jokic's shots from the field made have jumped this year to 11.6 per game.Compared to last year's 2.5 clip, Nikola Jokic's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 4.7 per game.Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.The Nuggets rank as the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (9.8).The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 3rdworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.While playing at home, the Pelicans have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (16.5) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
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