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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last year's 9.8 rate, Nikola Jokic's shots scored have surged this year to 12.0 per game.
  • Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.5 3-pointers per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.5 rate last year.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.1 minutes per game this year.
  • The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 93rd percentile for getting to the free-throw line, registering an enormous 6.3 free throw attempts per game at home this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against the LA Clippers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (10.9).
  • The 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
  • Away from their home court, the LA Clippers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • As a team, the Nuggets have been poor at getting to the charity stripe on the road: worst in the league this year, tallying just 17.8 foul shot attempts per game.

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