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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made a terrific 11.9 baskets per game this season, a significant increase from his 9.8 mark last season.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 34.0 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the league while on their home court with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

On their home court, the Houston Rockets have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have notched 8.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive output.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league as the home team this year.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most lethargic pace-of-play away team in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).

Nikola Jokic has made a measly 3.9 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 5.1 mark last year.

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