Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 3:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 9.8 mark, Nikola Jokic's shots from the field converted have increased this year to 11.6 per game.
Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 79th percentile for three-point ability away from home with a a phenomenal 52.0% rate this year.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
This year, opposing clubs have averaged 34.1% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a hard matchup.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have tallied 16.5 points per game (24th-most in the league) against the Warriors, creating a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.

Favors Under

The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
While on the road, the Golden State Warriors have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's poor 17.8 foul shots per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.

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