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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 9.8 baskets per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 43.1% of his treys since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 34.4 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league away from their home court since the start of last season.

The matchup against Dallas is a good one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are away from home, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 28th-most shots from downtown per game in the league since the start of last season (0.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 5thworst in in the league while playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 3.2 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home (8th-least in the league).

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