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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 11/1/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 98th percentile for shots scored away from his home court, totaling an enormous 9.9 per game since the start of last season.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 92nd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 34.1 minutes per game when playing at home since the start of last season.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 50.4% field goal percentage on the road places best in the NBA since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league since the start of last season (0.8).

Nikola Jokic has made 5.0 free throws per game away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (88th percentile).

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.

The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season, the other team has come down with 11.1 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (saving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).

Since the start of last season, the other team has attempted 25.4 free throws per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

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