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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 10/24/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) points per home game, Nikola Jokic's point-scoring has jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 15 games on his home court.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 41.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's tallied overall this year at home.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled 15.5 points per game (28th-most in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a favorable matchup for offensive productivity.

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.8 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 6.9 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 3.9 clip, Nikola Jokic's shots from behind the three-point arc have decreased this year to 2.5 per game.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the league while on their home court this year has been the Nuggets.

The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have grabbed 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Lakers (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).

More Nikola Jokic Player Props

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