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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 32.5 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.8 higher than he's posted overall this season.

Nikola Jokic has converted 1.9 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 39.8 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.5 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season on the road.

The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one; when the Heat have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.5).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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