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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 31.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.3 more than he's posted overall this season.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (11.7).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games while on their home court.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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