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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/22/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 31.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's posted in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season on the road.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 38.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The Lakers have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for scoring; when the Lakers are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 13th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.5).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the foul line without the home court advantage: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with a lowly 20.6 free throw attempts per game.

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player production for all stats.

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