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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/20/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has scored 34.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's scored over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing on the road.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 39.0 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.1 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Lakers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one; when the Lakers are on their home court, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (11.0).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.

While playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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