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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 36.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 11.3 more than he's posted in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 1.9 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's played overall this year.

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a good one for field goals; when the Lakers are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have tallied the 28th-most shots made from the field per game in the league this year (6.1).

The Lakers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league away from their home city this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 8th-worst in the league this year with a mere 22.4 foul shots per game.

The matchup against the Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).

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