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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/11/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has scored 35.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.7 more than he's scored overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 33.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 91st percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Nikola Jokic has converted 5.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted overall this year.

The matchup vs. the Suns may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a massive 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (86th percentile).

The matchup against the Suns is a tough one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 14th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (54.7%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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