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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/9/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.6 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's played in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has converted 7.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's made overall this season.

The matchup against the Suns may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted an enormous 5.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for field goals; when the Suns are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (51.3%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.

The Suns have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.

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