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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has scored 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 more than he's scored over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied in all games this season.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has attempted 7.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

The matchup vs. the Suns is a tough one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 14th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (54.5%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

On their home court, the Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (13.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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