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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 21.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 2.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The Suns have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year at home.

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The matchup against Phoenix is a challenging one for scoring; when the Suns are away from home, the other team's starting Cs have posted the 14th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (51.2%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Suns have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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