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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has attempted 19.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 50.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic has attempted 8.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 1.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
  • The matchup against the Suns may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 4.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The matchup against Phoenix is a difficult one for scoring; when the Suns are away from home, the opposition's starting Cs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (51.4%).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
  • The Suns have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Nuggets.

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