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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has attempted 17.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 1.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (1.9).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has attempted 8.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's committed overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league on their home court this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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