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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/23/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 9.3 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has made 4.3 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.

The Timberwolves have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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