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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/19/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.2 field goals per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has attempted 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a good one for three-point attempts; when the Timberwolves are the visiting team, opposing starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.8).

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.

The Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free throw line: 7th-worst in the league this year with a measly 22.3 free throws per game.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games (14th-least in the league).

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