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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/8/2023

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made 10.9 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's made in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 46.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's made from three overall this year without the home court advantage.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Utah is a strong one for threes; when the Jazz have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled the 29th-highest three rate in the league this year (46.5%).

The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

At home, the Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to worsens player production across the board.

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