Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 30, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Denver Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (6.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from downtown.
This matchup is a positive one for attempts from downtown; opposing clubs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (36.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Pelicans are away from home, their opposition have attempted an enormous 25.5 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (6th-most in the NBA).

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