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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2023

Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has posted 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's posted in all games this season.
  • Nikola Jokic has converted 57.7% of his field goals while on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied the 27th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
  • The Nets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Nets have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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