Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has scored 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's scored overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has successfully made 59.8% of his field goals this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Nikola Jokic has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 4.6 more than he's played in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a challenging one; when the Nets are on the road, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting Cs this year (12.0).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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