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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has scored 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's scored in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has converted 57.7% of his shots from the field away from his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.

The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; when the Spurs are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have totaled the 13th-least three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (1.2).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Spurs are on their home court (9th-least in the league).

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