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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has made 59.8% of his field goal attempts this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile among all players in the league.

Nikola Jokic has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.6 higher than he's played overall this season at home.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Raptors are away from home, opposing starting Cs have posted the 25th-highest three percentage in the league this year (38.4%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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