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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's posted over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 59.8% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Nikola Jokic has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.6 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated overall this year.

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for field goal attempts; opposing starting Cs have averaged the 10th-least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (8.9).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.9 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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