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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 57.7% of his field goal attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Rockets have played at the fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 15th-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.2).

The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.

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