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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 59.8% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has played 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year at home.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting Cs this year (15.1).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied overall this year.

The Clippers have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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