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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has posted 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 higher than he's posted overall this season.

Nikola Jokic has converted 57.7% of his field goals away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Memphis is a strong one for 3-point attempts; when the Grizzlies are at home, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 25th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.8).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Grizzlies is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted just 2.9 foul shots per game this year (10th-least in the NBA).

Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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